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Vision 2010 (Nigeria) and Vision 2020 (Ethiopia)

We at IDEA have always believed that a visionary and patriotic leadership can make a marked difference in nation building and the welfare of the popular masses especially if the visions are translated into action. There is no doubt that respective African nations and citizens will be better off if they enjoy the fortune of visionary, patriotic, committed and abler leadership. The latter four ingredients are the necessary components and preconditions for a meaningful economic and political, as well as social transformations of African societies.

            IDEA is proud to present Vision 2010 (Nigeria) and Vision 2020 (Ethiopia) so that our subscribers could benefit from the dialogue and discourse that have been widely discussed, in an effort to chart out the future of these two countries. While Vision 2010 is a Nigerian government initiative, Vision 2020 is the making of the Ethiopian Economic Association (EEA). The Nigerian undertaking is lead by a Committee that comprise 248 members aimed at implementing a concerted action in order to make Nigeria a developed nation by the year 2010 (Nigeria’s 50th independence anniversary). Ethiopia’s Vision 2020 is essentially a discussion forum with an objective of looking forward and with hope of influencing public policy for the betterment of Ethiopia. It is not a government initiative, nor does the EEA have at its disposal a government budget like that of Nigeria.

            According to the EEA, “building on the experience of its Round Table Discussion, the Ethiopian Economic Association  (EEA) organized the first round of a monthly discussion forum entitled Vision 2020 Ethiopia, which was conducted for the past six months. The forum provided prominent persons from different backgrounds with the opportunity to share their personal perspectives on Ethiopia’s future. Each presentation was followed by in-depth and constructive discussion among   participants.”

            The rationale of Vision 2020 entertains at least three important advantages: 1) policy makers could be able to see and examine the larger picture; 2) discussions about the future entail overall positive enhancement of the culture of debate; 3) the discussion will foster “ a sense of shared destiny in a community.”

            By contrast, the Nigerian Vision 2010 “was set up in 1996 to look at all aspects of Nigerian society, helping to define for [Nigeria] our Country its correct bearing and sense of political, socio-cultural and economic direction.” Vision 2010 Report “proposes both immediate, Short Term and Long Term measures to stimulate economic growth and transform Nigerians into patriotic citizens.”

            Like the Ethiopian vision, the Nigerian one also came up with three simple but profound rationales: 1) where we are (and why)? 2) Where do we want to be? 3) How do we get there? Quite obviously, the Nigerian rationale looks backwards before it begins to see forward. That the Nigerian foresight is preceded by a hindsight is clearly stipulated in the following: “a) to constructively analyze why after more than 36 years of political independence, our development of a nation in many spheres has been relatively unimpressive, especially in relation to our potential; b) to envision or visualize where we would like to be at the time the nation will be a fifty-year old independent nation in 2010 and; c) to develop the blueprint and action plans for translating this shared vision into reality.”

            Moreover, the Nigerian visionaries have clearly anticipated that “success on the political and socio-cultural fronts requires a long term orientation,” and that the implementation of Vision 2010 must be viewed in relation to “a highly competitive world driven by the forces of liberalization, globalization and technology.”

            Quite obviously, the Nigerian vision is action-oriented rather than mere policy formulation; that of Ethiopia, by contrast, gravitates toward traditional panel presentations at annual conferences. Some of the papers presented in the Ethiopian vision include Promoting Stability in the Horn of Africa; Agriculture Based Growth Strategies: Lessons from Morocco, China & Chile and their relevance for Ethiopia; The Role of Ethiopians in the Diaspora in the Country’s Development; Breaking the Cycle of Recurrent Famine in Ethiopia: Natural Resources Management and Drought Related Famine Prevention etc.     

The Ethiopian vision is characterized by intellectual discussion with an overall objective of dissecting themes and topics that address the future of Ethiopia. The Nigerian vision, on the other hand, must come with a blue print of development program and submit it to the government. In fact, the economic imperative of the Nigerian vision includes the following principles:

a)                  Government needs to focus on creating an enabling environment, which stimulates private sector savings and investment. The government should provide conducive infrastructure, build human capital (education, health care and technological know-how); govern effectively in the public interest; and orient the economy towards diversified, export-oriented development based on national comparative advantage;

b)                 Private sector is to support government in a truly progressive partnership. The private sector must become the engine of growth of the economy and this can be achieved through undertaking significantly higher level of investment, concentration on the best global practices and quality standards, penetration of West African and global markets, and utilization of domestic natural resources, skills and inherent competitive advantage; and

c)                  Macro-economic framework and economic institutions, which are similarly outward-oriented, based on free markets and global competition, and fostering high domestic savings and investment. This will be supported by stable and consistent economic policies with emphasis on achieving low inflation rates, and strong fiscal/monetary discipline.

In terms of organization and overall goal orientation, the two visions have essential differences, but themes incorporated in the respective topics discussed by both visions share a common denominator aimed at transforming both societies. In some instances, the tone of the topics resonate similar, if not the same messages and objectives. For instance, in the Ethiopian vision, Bahru Zewde’s article entitled “What did we dream? What did we achieve? And where are we heading?”  nicely coincides with the Nigerian rationale “where we are (and why)? Where do we want to be? How do we get there?” (Mentioned above). Although Bahru is professor of history and his synthesis of contemporary Ethiopian politics is primarily historical, the title of his topic is crucial for the present and future economic imperatives in Ethiopia. Both visions are historically significant in terms of galvanizing the urgency of economic and social transformations that our respective societies must undergo. The precondition for a meaningful transformation, however, lies in the dynamics of a dedicated and visionary leadership, and in this context the primacy of politics still remains determinant. Economic determinism should not obscure the import of a democratic system with attendant accountability and transparency that can contribute to a whole gamut of political arena, that in turn serves as conduit between the people and the transforming agencies.  

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